US Exit Strategy: Divide Iraq on a Gentle Fire

First US steps to divide Iraq took place today in Iraq-Kurdistan, Elaph reported the announce­ment of new Kur­dis­tan con­sti­tu­tion today, and some wor­ry­ing points are recipes for future conflicts:

The Con­sti­tu­tion, sov­er­eignty and laws of the Kur­dis­tan region are above all laws passed by the Iraqi fed­eral government.

Self-explanatory, the fed­eral gov­ern­ment has no con­trol on the Iraq-Kurdistan region.

Kur­dis­tan region is a fed­eral ter­ri­tory of the State of Iraq within the fed­eral polit­i­cal sys­tem ……… con­tains the gov­er­norates of Dohuk, Kirkuk and Sulay­maniyah, Irbil in addi­tion to the dis­tricts of the provinces of Diyala, “mis­de­meanor” and Nin­eveh “Mosul” and Was­sit “Kut”.

[Turk­ish] MPs to visit North­ern Iraq

This is just a small glimpse of the conflict:

Kur­dis­tani coali­tion walks out Iraqi par­lia­ment over Najifi statement

The Kur­dis­tani coali­tion and the deputy par­lia­ment speaker and mem­ber of the Kur­dis­tani coali­tion Aref Tifoz with­drew from the par­lia­ment ses­sion in protest over a state­ment by National Iraqi List MP and for­mer Min­is­ter of Indus­try Dr. Osama Al-Najifi.

Muhammed Al-Shabot (for­mer Iraqi Al-Sabah news­pa­per­chief edi­tor) wrote the fol­low­ing arti­cle in Ara­bic warn­ing that fed­er­a­tion, and sec­tar­ian regions are US Exit strat­egy, refer­ring to Leslie Gelb as one of the Brains behind it:

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Iraq: Sec­tar­ian cleans­ing on a gen­tle fire

Many areas in Bagh­dad and other gov­er­norates of Iraq wit­nesses a mixed exo­dus lead­ing to the estab­lish­ment of har­mo­nious regions to avoid ten­sions and fears from an out­break of civil war wide­spread in Iraq.

Accord­ing to eye­wit­nesses that there are waves of vol­un­tary exchange houses and al occur between the Shi­ites and Sun­nis in many mixed areas in Baghdad.

It is not easy to reach a peace­ful res­o­lu­tion implied on any of the two com­mu­ni­ties, and which com­mu­nity should leave. (Although ini­tial reports indi­cated that the Sun­nis are migrat­ing now)

The dis­trict had wit­nessed secu­rity ten­sion and armed clashes over the past few days between gun­men belong­ing to the Mahdi Army, , and oth­ers from the Sunni orga­ni­za­tion call­ing itself the Army Omar, Accord­ing to some reports, the rela­tion­ship even though national dia­logue, headed by Deputy Salih Al-Mutlq. No con­fir­ma­tion of the verac­ity of these reports.

Diyala province, north-east of Bagh­dad, is about to com­plete the process of com­mu­nal self-cleared, with a bit of repeated acts of vio­lence. Roughly now turn to the Sun­nis after Shi­ite fam­i­lies’ migra­tion. The city wit­nessed at ear­lier times many ter­ror­ist oper­a­tions launched by uniden­ti­fied gun­men against Shi­ite cit­i­zens or against mem­bers of the police and National Guard.

Find­ing alternatives

The processes of emi­gra­tion and immi­gra­tion depends on the abil­ity of the fam­ily adver­sity, which intends to migrate to find an alter­na­tive home, fam­ily migra­tion also intends. Once the cit­i­zen to find alter­na­tive home, mostly fam­i­lies from dif­fer­ent com­mu­ni­ties exchange their local res­i­dence peace­fully and amicably.

In case they could not get a replace­ment, in the cur­rent sit­u­a­tion of ris­ing fears, risks, Sunni or Shi­ite fam­ily leave and the search for any houses in the areas.

The record­ing of fam­i­lies dis­placed by the Min­istry of Dis­place­ment and Migra­tion, says that the num­ber of fam­i­lies reg­is­tered has reached 39 thou­sand fam­i­lies, But cit­i­zens say that the num­ber big­ger since not every dis­placed per­son or refugees reg­is­ter them­selves to the ministry.

Exit strat­egy

Among them is Leslie Gelb hon­orary pres­i­dent of the Amer­i­can Coun­cil on For­eign Rela­tions, sug­gested in a five-point plan in a recent study calls for the estab­lish­ment of free-zones for Shi­ites, Sun­nis and Kurds. with­out the divi­sion of the Iraqi state, and facil­i­tates to move the com­mu­ni­ties in the mixed areas peace­fully, under the pro­tec­tion and super­vi­sion of the Amer­i­can forces, in order to pre­vent acts of vio­lence dur­ing the tran­si­tion processes in prepa­ra­tion for the estab­lish­ment of fed­er­al­ism or an auton­omy enjoyed by the res­i­dents of the areas, while keep­ing some lim­ited pow­ers to the Cen­tral Government.

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