Roads to Iraq

Kirkuk crisis and the coming war

The good news are: Kurdish warlords failed to block or to cancel the parliament’s “22-July” decision.

The bad news are: War of Kirkuk is very close.

Sooner or later the situation is going to explode.

Desperate Barzani promised the Arabs and Turkomen with “big benefits” if they handover Kirkuk to the Kurds and he threatened:

We will include Kirkuk to Kurdistan, even by force if required.

But interestingly, he said this:

We are ready to sign any papers and guarantees [for the Arabs and Turkomen] but with one condition; not to be used as legal be the official papers.

Notice the change in the Kurdish rhetoric is changed from blaming the “Ba’athists and Saddamists” [used by United Iraqi Alliance also] in the parliament [more than the half of the parliament members] into blaming the pan-Arabists.Notice the change in the Kurdish rhetoric is changed from blaming the “Ba’athists and Saddamists” in the parliament [who are more than the half of the parliament members] into blaming the pan-Arabists.

This language meant to mobilize the Kurdish public opinion to push towards a war against in Kirkuk. And there are some reports indicate that Kudish parties are requiting thousands of young Kurds to “invade” Kirkuk.Kurdish warlords know that a civil war in Kirkuk is more than an Iraqi problem. It will provide an opportunity for regional interventions [Turkey,-Iran and Syria]. The only chance available for the Kurds right now is Iran.

Bad timing for the so called Kurdish prime Minister “Nijrfan Barzani” in his visit to Iran this week. Since Iran had signed an agreement with Turkey to prevent any attempt to form a Kurdish independent entity in the region, and there is not a single chance to believe that Tehran will back down from this agreement with Ankara. Iran needs it’s relation with Turkey as a gate to the outside world, especially with the embargo decisions against Iran.

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