Kirkuk crisis and the coming war

The good news are: Kur­dish war­lords failed to block or to can­cel the parliament’s “22-July” decision.

The bad news are: War of Kirkuk is very close.

Sooner or later the sit­u­a­tion is going to explode.

Des­per­ate Barzani promised the Arabs and Turkomen with “big ben­e­fits” if they han­dover Kirkuk to the Kurds and he threatened:

We will include Kirkuk to Kur­dis­tan, even by force if required.

But inter­est­ingly, he said this:

We are ready to sign any papers and guar­an­tees [for the Arabs and Turkomen] but with one con­di­tion; not to be used as legal be the offi­cial papers.

Notice the change in the Kur­dish rhetoric is changed from blam­ing the “Ba’athists and Sad­damists” [used by United Iraqi Alliance also] in the par­lia­ment [more than the half of the par­lia­ment mem­bers] into blam­ing the pan-Arabists.Notice the change in the Kur­dish rhetoric is changed from blam­ing the “Ba’athists and Sad­damists” in the par­lia­ment [who are more than the half of the par­lia­ment mem­bers] into blam­ing the pan-Arabists.

This lan­guage meant to mobi­lize the Kur­dish pub­lic opin­ion to push towards a war against in Kirkuk. And there are some reports indi­cate that Kud­ish par­ties are requit­ing thou­sands of young Kurds to “invade” Kirkuk.Kurdish war­lords know that a civil war in Kirkuk is more than an Iraqi prob­lem. It will pro­vide an oppor­tu­nity for regional inter­ven­tions [Turkey,-Iran and Syria]. The only chance avail­able for the Kurds right now is Iran.

Bad tim­ing for the so called Kur­dish prime Min­is­ter “Nijr­fan Barzani” in his visit to Iran this week. Since Iran had signed an agree­ment with Turkey to pre­vent any attempt to form a Kur­dish inde­pen­dent entity in the region, and there is not a sin­gle chance to believe that Tehran will back down from this agree­ment with Ankara. Iran needs it’s rela­tion with Turkey as a gate to the out­side world, espe­cially with the embargo deci­sions against Iran.