Will the U.S. allows a military coup?

I think Adil Abd Al-Mahdi’s fears from a mil­i­tary coup in Iraq in his inter­view on Al-Arabiya, are based on report pub­lished on albayyna Al-Jadida news­pa­per few days ago [no link allowed, but look here in Ara­bic and here in Eng­lish] say that there is a plot of coup orches­trated by the Amer­i­cans and advised by Egypt after Iraq’s provin­cial election.

Accord­ing to the news­pa­per, the Amer­i­cans met with Baath Party leader Mizhir Al-Dulaimi in Amman — Jor­dan for 10 hours. Mizhir told the Amer­i­cans that Ba’ath Party is dead with Saddam’s death and its come­back can only be arranged with new names.

Egypt in its role, rec­om­mended 45 names of for­mer Iraqi offi­cers to join an Amer­i­can mil­i­tary exer­cises in the United State.The news­pa­per says that the signs of this coup will be vis­i­ble at the out­come of the provin­cial elec­tion; if the Kurds and the Shi­ites dom­i­nate the results then the plan will be implemented.

A very good arti­cle on Al-Qabas pub­lished today asks if a coup in Iraq would be approved by the Amer­i­cans, in which the writer reminds us that not long time ago Cha­l­abi expected a mil­i­tary coup in Iraq also.
He argues that if we exclude the real­ity that the Amer­i­cans con­trol Iraq, then these views are mir­ror­ing the politi­cians own fears from the recent sit­u­a­tion and the feel that they are run­ning in an empty circle.

The writer counts two fac­tors make the Iraqi politician’s fear the Iraqi army:

The army has become some­what away from the exter­nal influ­ences as it was a year ear­lier, the grow­ing mil­i­tary power makes defeat the active and the inac­tive mili­tias linked to par­ties and politi­cians, who started to sug­gest and pres­sure Maliki gov­ern­ment, to con­trol the rapid growth of the army.

The army opened the return of a large num­ber of offi­cers and sol­diers from the for­mer army, which was admin­is­tered and dom­i­nated by the Baath Party ide­ol­ogy and for­mer offi­cers who were active in the Ba’ath Party lead­er­ship are a rea­son for such fears.

How­ever, the answer to the ques­tion whether the Amer­i­cans allow a coup that retake all the arrange­ments to the zero point?

The answer is “NO” for sure, the Amer­i­cans put all their eggs in the cur­rent Iraqi politician’s bas­ket and they can afford to break these eggs.

But still, the Amer­i­cans have a his­tory of “coups” against their friends and on their poli­cies. In this we can under­stand Chalabi’s and Adil abd Al-Mahdi fears.

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