Iran sce­nario

First time admis­sion by Dawa Party #2 Al-Adeeb in his inter­view with Al-Khaleej saying:

There is an attempt by the Supreme Coun­cil – Kurds Coali­tion – Islamic Party to oust Maliki or at least to make it a care­taker government.

In his reac­tion to the call of the two deputy pres­i­dents to ques­tion Maliki about the recent col­lapse of the secu­rity sit­u­a­tion, another Dawa Party leader Sami Al-Askari told Al-Hayat today:

An attempt to show the bad secu­rity sit­u­a­tion, in order to influ­ence Maliki’s rep­u­ta­tion because of the suc­cess Maliki achieved in Provin­cial Elec­tion …. They are try­ing to show Maliki’s “impos­ing law” slo­gan is not true.

Which explains the recent state­ment made the Inte­rior Min­is­ter Al-Bolani say­ing: “Shi­ite Mili­tia are active again”. Inter­est­ing is that the Supreme Coun­cil accused Maliki’s rec­on­cil­i­a­tion ini­tia­tive with being behind the deter­ring secu­rity situation.

US sce­nario

News­pa­per Al-Bayyna Al-Jadida [same link on Fars News] is Dawa Party sym­pa­thist banned from Maliki’s office after pub­lish­ing this report, the news­pa­per accused “peo­ple” in the office behind this deci­sion, despite it is news­pa­per #1 in Maliki’s favorites list.

The report says that the US admin­is­tra­tion is coop­er­at­ing with regional pow­ers neigh­bor­ing coun­tries, par­tic­u­larly Saudi Ara­bia in order to end the Shi­ites rule in Iraq.

Work together with the Kurds, this camp want to achieve the following:

- To con­firm the elec­tion of Ayad Al-Samarrai, as the speaker of the par­lia­ment to form a strong par­lia­men­tary bloc that can with­draw the con­fi­dence from Prime Min­is­ter Nuri al-Maliki.

- To cre­ate a cri­sis between the cen­tral gov­ern­ment and the regional gov­ern­ment in Kur­dis­tan, par­tic­u­larly the Kur­dish Mas­soud Barzani.

- Widen the gap between Maliki and Talabani.

- Delib­er­ate pres­sure made by the Kur­dish par­ties and the Islamic Party to drag the Supreme Coun­cil into the con­fronta­tion arena against Maliki.

- Leak­ing [false] reports to the Amer­i­cans, that the agenda of Prime Min­is­ter Al-Maliki and the Supreme Islamic Coun­cil is con­nected and influ­enced by Iran.

To me the points sounds more Ira­ni­ans than Amer­i­cans, but this doesn’t mean that the Amer­i­cans are not cook­ing some­thing also, or it is the same sce­nario agreed upon by both.