Syria – Saudi Arabia improving relation, leaves Cairo behind!

The Geo – polit­i­cal analy­sis of the Syr­ian pres­i­dent Assad — Saudi King Abdul­lah Sum­mit, based on the regional polit­i­cal and the inter­na­tional polit­i­cal environments:

- The tim­ing of the sum­mit comes at the moment, the Iran­ian nuclear cri­sis enters anew phase.

- The esca­la­tion of the con­flict in Yemen, and more likely to turn Yemen into a new Mid­dle East quagmire.

- The grow­ing finan­cial and eco­nomic cri­sis in Dubai.

- The Lebanese – Lebanese rec­on­cil­i­a­tion and the Lebanese – Syr­ian reconciliation.

- The Pales­tini­ans in their var­i­ous move­ments started to search for another medi­a­tors to face the Israel – Egypt cooperation.

- The increased Israeli diplo­macy losses in the Lebanese issue, on the Turk­ish front and the Pales­tin­ian file, and in the Euro­pean Union.

- The sit­u­a­tion in Iraq, and the all the failed attempts to use the Iraqi arena to shake the polit­i­cal sit­u­a­tion in Syria.

The Strate­gic Frame­work analysis:

- The U.S. admin­is­tra­tion real­ized that deal­ing with Dam­as­cus, bet­ter than the efforts to iso­late Damascus.

- The retreat of the Moderate-Arabs role in the region. Wash­ing­ton started to under­stand that its reliance on Pres­i­dent Hosni Mubarak is no longer fea­si­ble to pro­vide an effec­tive solu­tions in sta­bi­liz­ing the Mid­dle East.

Egypt is angry at Abu Mazin (Mah­moud Abbas) head of the PA, as reported on Al-Mesryoon today say­ing that Cairo expressed its dis­ap­point­ment with Abbas’ attempts to include Syria and Saudi Ara­bia in the Pales­tin­ian rec­on­cil­i­a­tion issue with­out pre­vi­ous coor­di­na­tion with the Egypt­ian leadership.

It seems that Saudi Ara­bia spoiled the Egypt­ian dom­i­na­tion on the above issue, accord­ing to the Egypt­ian Shorouk say­ing that the Saudi pro­posal to fin­ish the Pales­tin­ian rec­on­cil­i­a­tion in Riyadh is unwel­come by Cairo, but do not oppose it directly [and can not go against the Saudi will].

Cairo’s diplo­macy chose to work side by side the Tel Aviv in the hope to obtain sup­port form Wash­ing­ton. The U.S. real­ized that Egypt started to lose its cred­i­bil­ity as the cen­tral cap­i­tal of the Mid­dle East. Accord­ingly, the U.S. has shifted its atten­tion to Riyadh to replace Cairo in Mid­dle East’s bi-polarization system.

The con­struc­tion of the steel wall between the Gaza Strip and Egypt, iso­lated in Egyptian-Rafah from Palestinian-Rafah, but the most impor­tant is that the same wall iso­lated Egypt from the Arab affairs.