The ingre­di­ents required to start a civil war are here:

The new exclu­sion of the 52 Iraqi politi­cians (among them Salih Al-Mutlaq brother “Ibrahim Al-Mutlaq”), Al-Iraqiya hold an urgent meet­ing to dis­cuss the with­drawal from the polit­i­cal process. An alter­na­tive for Al-Iraqiya is reported by Al-Nujaifi say­ing: The pos­si­bil­ity to restore the entire elec­toral process under a “tem­po­rary” government.

Al-Iraqiya, also put five con­di­tions to accept the re-count of the votes:

1. Board of Com­mis­sion­ers should vote a unan­i­mous deci­sion on the mech­a­nisms and con­trols adopted in this re-cpunt.
2. That the process of being re-counting under:
A — the super­vi­sion of inter­na­tional observers.
B — the super­vi­sion of observers of polit­i­cal enti­ties.
C – the approval of the United Nations on the mech­a­nisms and con­trols that approved by the Board of Commissioners.

3. Not to begin the process only after the imple­men­ta­tion of 1 and 2 above.

4. the process of re-counting and sort­ing should include the fol­low­ing:
A — polling sta­tions, which had been deleted with­out jus­ti­fi­ca­tion in the Karkh dis­trict of Bagh­dad.
B — elec­toral dis­tricts in the South­ern provinces, Al-Iraqiya had chal­lenged the results and requested re-counts.

5. IHEC should to pro­vide assur­ances about the safety of the early bal­lot boxes in the stor­age places.

The Sadrists stronghold-neighborhoods reported ten­sions between the Muq­tada Al-Sadr sup­port­ers and the U.S.-Iraqi forces.

Muq­tada Al-Sadr received a a let­ter sent to him by Sun­nis in prison, signed in blood (image above) to show their loy­al­ity to the cleric, ask­ing Al-Sadr to lead the resistance

Last explo­sion wave and the U.S. plan B

At the back­ground of the last explo­sions wave in Iraq, we can read the fol­low­ing facts:

- These explo­sions are planned and imple­mented in order to tar­get the Iraqi Shi­ites, who are about the major­ity of the Iraqi society.

- The goal of these bomb­ings is to raise the anger and frus­tra­tion, to drive the Shi­ites to carry out fur­ther actions against the other parties.

The mes­sage behind the explo­sions are the following:

- A direct and clear mes­sage to the Iraqi Shi­ites; no mat­ter how large the group is, they are unable to impose their full polit­i­cal agenda on Iraqi politics.

- To deter the Iraqi National Alliance (INA), and the State of Law (SoL) from build­ing a new uni­fied Shi’ite alliance, which exclude the Kurds, and the Sunnis.

- To warn Tehran of the con­se­quences of the reliance on the Iraqi Shi­ite polit­i­cal forces alone to con­trol the Iraqi politics.

It is known that Iraq has been a scene of wide­spread “death squad” activ­i­ties dur­ing the sec­ond half in 2006 and the first half of 2007, activ­ity has been char­ac­ter­ized as follows:

- The involve­ment of all Iraqi polit­i­cal forces in the “death squads” activities.

- The liq­ui­da­tion of large num­bers of Iraqis and non-Iraqi, (about a mil­lion if we add the peo­ple killed by the U.S. occu­pa­tion forces).

The activ­i­ties of the “death squads”, did not focus on eth­nic cleans­ing, but it was asso­ci­ated in many events to guide and redi­rect the polit­i­cal pres­sure, in order to force the opponent(s) to make con­ces­sions and change their polit­i­cal position.

Cur­rent devel­op­ments indi­cate the return of the Iraqi “death squads” activ­i­ties, but, this time, will take a new addi­tional dimension:

- Some par­ties in the U.S. rejects the prin­ci­ple of U.S. forces with­drawal from Iraq, pushes for more chaos and mass violence.

- Pres­sure on the U.S. admin­is­tra­tion, to delay the deci­sion to with­draw U.S. troops from Iraq.

Notice what George Fried­man wrote in his last analy­sis of the Iraqi sit­u­a­tion, in which he asked Obama’s Admin­is­tra­tion to aban­don the forces with­drawal plan, and search for plan B, to achieve the following:

- U.S.: Imple­men­ta­tion of rea­sons, so that the Obama admin­is­tra­tion can extend the U.S. mil­i­tary pres­ence in Iraq.

- Iraq: the rede­ploy­ment of U.S. forces in Iraqi cities and villages.

- Arab World: urge the U.S. allies in the region to sup­port and finance the pres­ence of the U.S. forces in Iraq.

Fried­man hinted, that the Fri­day bomb­ing in Iraq, is to bal­ance the recent Iran­ian mil­i­tary maneu­ver in the Gulf, in other words, if Iran’s inter­fer­ence and con­trol in the Shi­ite failed Washington’s and Saudi Arabia’s efforts in the for­ma­tion of the Iraqi gov­ern­ment, then (accord­ing to Friedman)the Fri­day bomb­ings meant to deter Tehran and its allies against the con­trol of the Iraqi scene.

- Al-Qaeda in Iraq has become more vul­ner­a­ble, its lead­er­ship has become more aware that the Iraqi Shi­ites reject the con­tin­ued U.S. mil­i­tary pres­ence in Iraq.

- The emer­gence of Friedman’s doc­u­ment, timed with the bomb­ings wave reflects the hid­den involve­ment of some par­ties in the offi­cial U.S. Admin­is­tra­tion, who reject the with­drawal of the U.S. Forces from Iraq.

The expected Iraqi scene in the com­ing days, will be the increase of vio­lence, espe­cially with the grow­ing dis­putes among on form­ing a gov­ern­ing coali­tion. Al-Iraqiya keeps ask­ing for the PM office, which means the Kur­dish Alliance are out of the equa­tion, an issue would strengthen the Kur­dish sep­a­ratism, and puts the future of Iraq’s unity again in threat of sep­a­ratism and division.