The short ver­sion is in the first para­graph, for more detailed ver­sion read below.

Infor­ma­tion avail­able says: next week Alawi will begin his nego­ti­a­tions with the polit­i­cal coali­tions on the for­ma­tion of the next gov­ern­ment after the rat­i­fi­ca­tion of the elec­tion results. Signs of a rift within the Iraqi National Alliance (INA), because of the Supreme Council’s new direc­tion to form an alliance with Al-Iraqiya, which is rejected by the rest of INA coali­tion. A split led by Ahmad Al-Chalabi (National Con­gress) joined by the Sadrists and the Virtue Party (Al-Fadhila) threat­ened to form an alliance with the State of Law, if the Supreme Coun­cil con­tin­ues its Al-Iraqiya approach (Iran promised to appoint Cha­l­abi as deputy-Prime Min­is­ter, if he suc­ceeded con­vinc­ing Muq­tada Al-Sadr to accept Maliki).

A month since the announce­ment of the alliance between the “State of Law” and “Iraqi National Alliance” coali­tion, and Maliki’s allies say; they felt that the stan­dards imposed by INA (Sadrists) are “pre-prepared to remove him from power”.

Maliki is try­ing to impose 51% on inter­nal votes to select a can­di­date, in response to INA’s insis­tence to impose 80%.

The 80% is impos­si­ble to achieve by any can­di­date, INA’s plan is; going to the par­lia­ment with more than one can­di­date, and Maliki will be severely tested by his oppo­nents there. A dou­ble edge plan because this could boosts the Supreme Council’s can­di­date, Adel Abdul-Mahdi’s chances.

It is not the Sadrists scenario

Notice also that Al-Iraqiya’s new posi­tion of sup­port­ing Adel Abd Al-Mahdi’s can­di­dacy to put him again as a front-runner, which is con­sid­ered as a gift from Allawi to Ammar Al-Hakim, who stopped the attempts made by Maliki to exclude and mar­gin­al­ize the Al-Iraqiya, announc­ing ear­lier that he will form the new gov­ern­ment and Al-Iraqiya is not part of it.

Al-Iraqiya (91 seats) new posi­tion, is the wedge to split the Shi­ite coali­tions (INA, SoL), know­ing that even if Abdul Abd Mahdi man­ages to obtain the Kurds (43 seats) sup­port, he still needs the Sadrists, who are the main obsta­cle oppos­ing Mahdi’s nom­i­na­tion (rejected by Iran also) at the expense of their own can­di­date Ja’afari .

The above explains the two days closed-doors meet­ings between Maliki and Ja’afari, indi­cates that there is some kind of reach­ing accord sce­nario, that the Sadrists will sup­port Maliki in return for min­istries and some impor­tant posts in the gov­ern­ment and to accept Jaa­fari as their can­di­date as the leader of the alliance between the “State of Law and INA with­out the Supreme Coun­cil”.

But this is not the end of the story … next we will the gov­ern­ment for­ma­tion scenarios ..