It is time for the supreme clerics to intervene

With less than 24 hours since INA released an offi­cial state­ment announced the freeze of all nego­ti­a­tions with the “State of Law” coali­tion (inter­est­ing is that the announce­ment is read by Ahmed Al-Chalabi, to deny the spec­u­la­tions that Cha­l­abi stand against the freeze deci­sion), Maliki man­aged to return the ping-pong ball to INA’s side, ask­ing the offi­cial Iraqi satel­lite TV to orches­trate an inter­view with the Prime Minister.

In the inter­view Maliki tried to embar­rass INA Coali­tion, ask­ing (chal­lenge) its lead­ers to announce their own can­di­date for the Prime Min­is­ter post, in an attempt from Maliki to start an inter­nal con­flict between Sadr and Hakim.

The inter­view, and Maliki’s insis­tence to nom­i­nate him­self as the only can­di­date, add to this what Al-Sumeria revealed that the U.S. wants to see Maliki and Allawi in one gov­ern­ment (which means the exclu­sion of INA), INA mem­bers started to use a new threat lan­guage, hinted to acti­vate Arti­cle 64 of the Con­sti­tu­tion to dis­solve the par­lia­ment and hold new elections.

Par­al­lel to the above, the United Nations rep­re­sen­ta­tive “Ad Melk­ert” had tele­phone con­tact with the Muq­tada Al-Sadr to dis­cuss the cri­sis and the lat­ter stressed on his three no’s (no to Maliki, no to Iyad Allawi, and no to Adil Abdul-Mahdi).

INA’s threat of hold­ing a new elec­tion is a wake up call to Supreme Cler­ics in the Hawza to inter­vene, and the call is already mate­ri­al­ized in a sug­ges­tion made by Aya­tol­lah Sheikh Bashir Najafi (sec­ond in rank after Sis­tani), invited the lead­ers of the four coali­tions (State of Law, the Iraqi National Alliance, Al-Iraqiya the Kur­dis­tan Alliance) to go to his office for talks in order to reach a solution.

Despite that Aya­tol­lah Najafi is one of the four hi-rank ref­er­ences in the Hawza, in the terms of author­ity, he is not equiv­a­lent to the supreme Aya­tol­lah Ali Al-Sistani and, there­fore, I expect that this step has been agreed upon by all the Hawza’s supreme author­i­ties as a first step on the road to inter­ven­tion if things stay at the square one.

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One Response to It is time for the supreme clerics to intervene

  1. scott sullivan says:

    by Scott Sul­li­van
    A Sadr Vic­tory Plan for Iraq

    Here is a national vic­tory plan for Iraqi patri­ots. The plan assumes that Iran­ian sub­ver­sion via the Kurds is Iraq’s great­est enemy. The US occu­pa­tion is a sec­ondary prob­lem. In fact, the US is a poten­tial Iraqi ally against Iran.

    First, Muq­tada al Sadr should post­pone the Kirkuk ref­er­en­dum. A deci­sion to move ahead with the ref­er­en­dum would be a mis­take. The Kurds would imme­di­ately annex Kirkuk and its oil wealth and declare inde­pen­dence. Mean­while, Iran would annex Basra and its oil wealth. Iraq would be par­ti­tioned between Iran and the Kurds. Iraq would dis­ap­pear from the map. Most Iraqis oppose this out­come, as do all of Iraq’s neigh­bors, aside from Iran

    Sec­ond, Sadr should encour­age Turkey to approach the US about deploy­ing Turk­ish peace­keep­ers to Kirkuk and Basra. This is the most effec­tive way to pre­vent Iraq’s par­ti­tion by Iran and the Kurds. Turkey will be recep­tive because it knows that Iraq’s par­ti­tion would desta­bi­lize Iraq and the region. More­over, Turkey is being pressed to do more about Iraq by Syria, Rus­sia, and Saudi Arabia.

    Third, Sadr should present Tal­a­bani and Barzani with an ulti­ma­tum on the Iraqi flag. The Kurds refuse to honor the Iraqi flag. Maliki will tell Tal­a­bani and Barzani will that they have twenty-four hours to hoist the Iraqi flag through­out the Kur­dish dis­tricts. If they fail to com­ply, Iraqi and US forces will move in and raise the Iraqi flag.

    Fourth, Sadr should inves­ti­gate why Tal­a­bani and Barzani have been hold­ing meet­ings with the top rank­ing offi­cials of Iran’s Rev­o­lu­tion­ary Guards (IRGC) and the Quds Force, which are Iran’s Spe­cial Oper­a­tion Forces. Have Prime Min­is­ter Maliki and US force com­man­ders approved of these secret Kurdish-Iranian meet­ings? What top­ics are on the agenda? Are Tal­a­bani and Barzani using these meet­ings to pre­pare for the Kurdish-Iranian par­ti­tion of Iraq? If so, should Tal­a­bani be impeached?

    Fifth, Sadr and US force com­man­ders should con­sider request­ing Iran to with­draw the Rev­o­lu­tion­ary Guards (IRGC) and the Quds force from Iraq. If Iran refuses, then Iraq should imme­di­ately request Turk­ish peace­keep­ers for Basra and Kirkuk.

    Sixth, if Iran refuses to with­draw its para­mil­i­tary forces from Iraq, SAdr should announce that Iran­ian pres­i­dent Mah­moud Ahmadine­jad would not be wel­come in Bagh­dad, and would be denied a visa for any pos­si­ble visit.

    Sev­enth, Sadr should query Malaki for an expla­na­tion of why he aban­doned the Pertaeus-Maliki-Sadr polit­i­cal accords for Iraqi rec­on­cil­i­a­tion an an end to Maliki’s extra-constitutional war against Sadr, a war that boosted Iraq’s adver­saries such as Iran and the Kurds, Why does Maliki con­sider Muq­tada al Sadr, who wants a uni­fied Iraqi state, to be his enemy. At the same time, Maliki looked upon Ahmadine­jad and his Rev­o­lu­tion­ary Guards, who are doing what they can to par­ti­tion Iraq, to be val­ued partners.

    An ear­lier ver­sion of this op-ed first appeared in theconservativevoice,com, April 11, 2007

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