Temporary U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq, waiting for the civil war

Most of the analy­sis and the views (at least in the Mid­dle East) see the U.S. with­drawal from Iraq is an arti­fi­cial sce­nario intended to mis­lead pub­lic opin­ion, the Iraqis and Amer­i­cans and Mid­dle East­ern, as well as the inter­na­tional opinion.

The U.S. exit from Iraq is just re-programming for a later entry, prob­a­bly after the U.S. midterm con­gres­sional elections.

In other words, the U.S. with­drew from Iraq, but kept the following:

- The Iraqi gov­ern­ment cri­sis, with no sign of solution.

- About 50 thou­sand U.S. troops, spe­cial forces poised to fight and imple­ment offen­sive mil­i­tary operations.

- Keep all the U.S. troops with­drawn from Iraq in a neigh­bor­ing Arab coun­try [Kuwait].

The U.S. with­drawal from Iraq led to the emer­gence of three camps, could be referred to as follows:

Opti­mists camp

The U.S. with­drawal from Iraq is an impor­tant turn­ing point of Iraq’s sta­bil­ity, and pro­mote trust and cred­i­bil­ity, not in the Mid­dle East, but between the U.S. admin­is­tra­tion and Amer­i­can pub­lic opin­ion, as that will help to strengthen the posi­tion of the U.S. Demo­c­ra­tic Party to win the results of the com­ing midterm con­gres­sional elec­tions, mak­ing Amer­i­can vot­ers choose one of two options:

- Vote Repub­li­can, which means the esca­la­tion of the war, and pay more expenses and loss the health insur­ance and social wel­fare drafts.

- Vote Democ­rats, which means to get rid of the war and pro­vide the funds nec­es­sary to sup­port the eco­nomic sit­u­a­tion and the domes­tic ser­vice in the U.S.

Pes­simists camp

The U.S. with­drawal from Iraq, will not only serve to sup­port the vac­uum in the Iraqi arena, but it will be filled by: — Iran in the south­ern and cen­tral Iraq areas. — Al-Qaeda in west­ern Iraq.

Neu­tral camp

The U.S. with­drawal from Iraq is an event dif­fi­cult to be sub­jected to any imme­di­ate assess­ment, because the key vari­able that must be based upon the eval­u­a­tion of the Iraqi polit­i­cal process.

U.S. Vice-President. Joe Biden, who is the one behind the idea of dis­man­tling and the divi­sion of Iraq project, came in a hurry to Iraq to derail the under­stand­ing reached between Iraqi polit­i­cal forces to choose a par­tic­u­lar can­di­date for the new prime min­is­ter, is sup­posed to be announced at the end of Ramadan .

Iraqi Ana­lysts, see that the U.S. forces had com­pleted the com­bat mis­sions and with­drew out of Iraq with­out accom­plish­ing it’s objec­tives, they didn’t lib­er­ate Iraq, because Iraq was not pri­mar­ily occu­pied. In addi­tion, no Amer­i­can pres­i­dent or a U.S. mil­i­tary com­man­der can announce that the U.S. forces had achieved the final vic­tory in Iraq, because there is no Iraqi party has signed a sur­ren­der agree­ment with the United States and its allies.

All that hap­pened was: The U.S. forces not been able to impose con­trol in Iraq, and came up with the hope to return again after they have the more new excuses. It is likely that the U.S. is seek­ing to push the Iraqi par­ties to wage a civil war, demand­ing the return of Amer­i­can forces, not on the back­ground and jus­ti­fi­ca­tion for the lib­er­a­tion of Iraq, but this time on the back­ground for sav­ing Iraqis.