Possible action:

PLAY ON SUNNI FEARS OF IRANIAN INFLUENCE: There are fears
in Syria that the Iranians are active in both Shia
proselytizing and conversion of, mostly poor, Sunnis. Though
often exaggerated, such fears reflect an element of the Sunni
community in Syria that is increasingly upset by and focused
on the spread of Iranian influence in their country through
activities ranging from mosque construction to business.

Fake “cork-made” coffins that fly in the air, three Libyans killed in Homs — Syria as reported and named by the Libyan Islamists websites, Qatari and British special troops are already in Syria, and Americans who want their share from the pie.

A Syrian General who speaks (in Arabic) to the Israeli TV asks for Israel support to remove Assad, repeats the Wikilinks cable advice:

Shiite victory on the Sunnis in Syria, will be a critical factor in the success of the plan (the Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei to the elimination of the State of Israel.

And for sure, the good 21-year-old “dying babies” trick (already denied by the Syrian Ministry of health) that is used in Iraq before, always works.

Chief spy Fradkov (Anti-Israel Russian-Jew) will accompany the Russian FM Lavarov in his visit to Syria tomorrow, which suggest that there is a broader security issue Russia wants to discus with the Syrian authorities.

With Moscow revealed that the Security Council draft resolution included an Article authorised military intervention in Syria. Pravda provided us with an excellent explanation on the recent triangle relation among the US, Saudi Arabia and Israel, but Alakhbar goes further to explain why Western countries push on military intervention in Syria:

Russia and China know the Western — Arab plan for the military intervention in Syria as part of the defense for Gulf Arab states that face the danger of war along their borders in case decided to go to war with Iran. Syria is their priorities, proactive stage to reduce losses and ensure victory in the face of any future regional map redraw on new foundations which will exclude Moscow, Beijing and Tehran.

Lavarov plan is to discus with the Syrian authorities the possibility to achieve a military victory within the coming days and later Russia will ask the UNSC for an emergency (its right as a permanent member), to declare an immediate ceasefire. If the opposition (the so-called Free Syrian Army) refuses then the Syrian authorities have the right to proceed with its military operations. This is why we see that the Syrian army escalated its operations after the Veto (Aljazeera: Military escalation in many areas in Syria). According to Assafir:

Russian military experts started to train the Syrian military to restore control on areas that already under the opposition control, also to prevent a staged military coup supported by the West.

Western media having a real difficult time to explain that world powers such as US, UK and France are echos from the past.

Yet those Western countries (especially the ‘disgusted’ US) who started to shade crocodile tears in the UN yesterday because Bricks countries blocked the resolution on Syria.

There is a funny side in the story, head of Jordanian Muslim Bros. call on Muslim and Arab nations to boycott the Russian and Chinese products. I hope someone will tell him that his clothes, and his head cover ‘Yashmagh’ including his underwear are “made in China”.

The people want the fall of the System and the king

It is time for Assad to tell king Abdullah to leave

Seeing that the Russian journalist who went missing in Syria turned up in Turkey.

News reported on Turkish newspaper Aydinlikgazete from few days revealed that the Syrian military arrested 49 Turkish intelligence officers (State intel. not a military intel.) in Syria.

The suggested scenario is the following:

The Iranian engineers are kidnapped in Syria, transferred to turkey to be used as a bargain with Iran in exchange for the Turkish Intel. Officers in Syria.

Observers expect that Russia will not resist the offers to change its on Syrian file in the Security Council .. Especially after the long waited Saudi Arabia to join the anti-Assad camp for the fear of Iran’s danger .. The bargain is likely that Saudi Arabia will allow Russian to invest in the Saudi oil regions and a large sum of money as compensation for Russia’s losses in Libya and Syria after the removal of Assad regime.

This decision will be announced within the coming days, but the List will pay a heavy price which will lead to a split among its blocs since the Parliament speaker Osama Al-Nujaifi (one of the important Al-Iraqiya leaders) according to his position which represents can not allows him to side in the opposition’s trench.

The final calculation reveals the following:

The head of the list, Iyad Allawi, the Deputy Prime Minister Saleh al-Mutlaq, and Finance Minister Rafie al-Issawi, Communications Minister Muhammad Tawfiq Allawi, will join the opposition side (the last two should leave their positions as ministers). Others such as Nujaifi and Karbuli (head of Al-Hal Bloc) will stay in Govt.

Two opinions on Al-Iraqiya move:

First, This move will increase the political polarization of sectarian tension.

Second, This move may open a way for a cross-sectarian alliance with the creation of parliamentery body that will monitor the performance of the government.

Image above from the headline of the Guardian 1976

Race against time before the coming Arab Summit in Baghdad next March (Three GCC countries Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Bahrain are already plotting to postpone the Summit, according to to Al-Seyassah). Emir of Qatar’s call of sending Arab troops to Syria to stop the bloodshed and protect civilians is an odd suggestion contradicts the facts on the ground.

Syria already rejected this plan, because it will create a new atmosphere of the conflict, which is undoubtedly will embarrass Russia and the China in case that some Arab countries to support such a proposal.

Probably, Qatar is pushed by Western power to announce this plan for two reasons:

- Indirect giving endorsement and legitimacy to the formation of the so called “Syrian army free”
– May soon help in activating the idea of the buffer zone (humanitarian corridors or any other dubious name) that can be set up by Turkey, and protected with the participation of Arab military.

But it seems that the Arab League is not interested in this option including the Saudi media who criticized this option. This is Saudi newspaper alriyadh:

There is no legislation approved by the Arab League countries, and even the terms of the common defense protocol are still hazy, directed against any external aggression, not an interference in the Arab countries affairs.

Arabs already tried this option in Oct. 1976 in Lebanon. Under the same recent reason “preventing a civil war”, Arab heads of state endorsed a peace plan calling for deployment of 30,000-man joint Arab peacekeeping force in Lebanon (interesting is that at that time, Iraq is the only Arab country opposed sending troops).

Arabs sent their forces, but the plan was a total failure and the presence of the forces created more troubles and conflicts in Lebanon than before. The Arabs withdrew the military peace keepers from Lebanon, except the Syrian forces who remained until 2005.

And the reason behind the new accusations exchange is the new circulating rumors:

Sunni Arab leaders to discuss with the Kurdish alliance leaders the possibility to change the political geographic reality in Iraq and reduce the power monopoly power of the Shiite parties to counter Iran’s growing influence in Iraq.

According to sources, the Sunni figures put forward new ideas to form a Sunni — Kurdish confederation. The ideas put forward include that the new confederation to be headed by President of Kurdistan region Masoud Barzani, while the government will be formed by a Sunni figure.

Everything right now depends on the new National Conference which is expected to fail to achieve any results, and that will generate a “Turkish — Kurdish — US” confederation scheme with the support of Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

But, these rumors are psychological test balloon against Maliki’s Govt in order to offer more concessions to the Kurds and the Sunnis.

The next day (Thursday), Iraq officially announced a new initiative to be discussed with Damascus and invited the Syrian opposition to Baghdad. But a suspicious wave of bombings targeted Baghdad, forced the Iraqi Govt to cancel the talks and the invitation.

The same day (Thursday) evening after the bombing in Baghdad, Russia announced a surprise move, a draft resolution to the Security Council on Syria, which frustrated the Anti-Syria camp who seek to refer Syria to the Security Council according their terms.

At this stage, Moscow called the Syrian Vice President Farouk al-Shara, and put pressure on President Bashar al-Assad and forced them to cooperate with the monitors. Damascus picked up the message, realised that the Arab League does not have the means, the logistic capabilities and the experts in field monitoring to implement the initiative on the ground which left the AL trapped in a closed loop.

Syria and its ally Russia deceived the Anti-Syria camp when Syria signed (Monday, December 19 ) the AL protocol on send the observers in a country shaken by a “peaceful” popular revolution. The Anti-Syria camp and Western powers welcomed the Russian move thinking that this is a crack in the Russian-Chinese relations towards Syria (and some comments also).