Leaked draft Libyan constitution: The Islamists are coming

Accord­ing to the leaked copy of the Libyan new draft con­sti­tu­tion (first edi­tion), that Libya after Gaddafi will be a demo­c­ra­tic none-central State . The pres­i­den­tial term will not exceed four years to be renewed once, with the exis­tence of fed­er­al­ism rule for some provinces.

The four papers called the “Call for the Tran­si­tional National Char­ter” high­lights the rea­sons and cir­cum­stances which led to the rev­o­lu­tion. In the first arti­cle the draft explains that Libya is an inde­pen­dent state, a demo­c­ra­tic decen­tral­ized coun­try, Islam is the reli­gion, and the prin­ci­ples of Islamic law (Sharia) is the source of legislation.

The sec­ond, third, fourth, fifth, sixth, and sev­enth arti­cles of the draft con­sti­tu­tion are gen­eral prin­ci­ples and clichés that guar­an­tee free­dom of opin­ion, the press and the media. there are also men­tions to the free­dom to estab­lish polit­i­cal par­ties, unions and associations.

The eighth arti­cle, is the estab­lish­ment of Par­lia­ment (or semi-Parliament – maybe the idea is based on Islamic Shura Coun­cil) under the name “The Supreme Leg­isla­tive Coun­cil” solely respon­si­ble for the issu­ing laws.

Regard­ing the gov­ern­ment, the ninth arti­cle is: Libya’s civil­ian gov­ern­ment is headed by a civil­ian Prime Min­is­ter with an exec­u­tive author­ity respon­si­ble to the Leg­isla­tive Coun­cil (Par­lia­ment) (This means that the Par­lia­ment intended to have more pow­ers than the government).

Arti­cle 13 of the draft, is that Libya’s future will be the admin­is­tra­tive provinces have the legal rights to adopt an auton­omy sys­tem (this is the only ref­er­ence to the fed­er­a­tions system)

P.S.

It is very clear that draft is designed so that the Islamists will dom­i­nate the Par­lia­ment (and prob­a­bly, the head of the State), leav­ing a weaker Prime Min­is­ter post to the secular.

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U.S. forces to extend its presence in Iraq for another 6 months

As every per­son with lit­tle knowl­edge on the pol­i­tics and news in the Arab coun­tries and the Mid­dle east knows that rumors in news­pa­pers are more authen­tic and reli­able source than gov­ern­ment and politician’s state­ments. This is what reported today on almost every Iraqi newspaper:

A sud­den meet­ing of for­eign ambas­sadors in Iraq held at the United Nations head­quar­ters in Bagh­dad few days ago. The U.S. side explained to the United Nations Mis­sion alleged U.S. troops with­drawal out of Iraq would be a for­mal­ity, adding that the U.S. mil­i­tary will pull the sol­diers whose term of ser­vice in Iraq would expire shortly and the unnec­es­sary mil­i­tary vehicles.

The U.S. ambas­sador assured the for­eign ambas­sadors of an exis­tence of a secret agree­ment with the Iraqi side to extend the pres­ence of the U.S. troops for another 6 months.

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Libyan rebels war crimes against Tuareg tribes

Noth­ing new in Amnesty Inter­na­tional report on Libya’s NTC human rights abuses if read the com­plains of the Tuareg tribes in south­ern Libya.

This is the state­ment released by the Coor­di­nat­ing Com­mit­tee for the Tuareg of Libya:

[We]the forces of the NTC, NATO forces and the Red Cross to inter­vene to pre­vent any retal­i­a­tion against the inhab­i­tants of Ghadames and the south-western Libya, and called on the Com­mis­sion to respect the fun­da­men­tal rights of the Libyan peo­ple, accord­ing to the Geneva Con­ven­tion and UN res­o­lu­tion to pro­tect civil­ians of Libya.

It is worth men­tion­ing that about 200,000 [Tuareg] peo­ple are under threat of revenge scenarios.

Alger­ian news­pa­per reported the following:

Tran­si­tional Coun­cil forces arrested more than 200 Tuareg tribes mem­bers, with­out any rea­son or jus­ti­fi­ca­tion and most of the detainees were trans­ferred to Tripoli. In sev­eral cases, the arrests are based on per­sonal revenges, no more

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Al-Sadr’s concessions to continue, stop all attacks on the American troops

Muq­tada Al-sadr decided to halt all attacks on the Amer­i­can troops in Iraq, allow­ing them to with­draw com­pletely at the end of the year.

This con­tra­dicts, ear­lier deci­sion has been announced some time ago by the leader of the Sadrists Move­ment, fol­low­ing the US deci­sion to send 600 troops of the U.S. sol­diers to pro­vide air cover dur­ing the with­drawal process, Al-Sadr described the US deci­sion as “an attempt to boost its forces in Iraq.

Sadr’s deci­sion, comes as part of series of con­ces­sions that had started about two months ago, when last July he announced the con­tin­ued freeze the Mahdi Army “even if the Amer­i­cans stayed”.

One last thing to add, Iraqi Prime Min­is­ter Maliki can­celled his visit to Iran for this stage, espe­cially after he had received assur­ances from Tehran about the sit­u­a­tion of Syria, and the threat of Shi­ite leader Muq­tada Al-Sadr.

The Ira­ni­ans told Maliki not to fear from threats by orga­nized demon­stra­tions after Al-sadr left the deci­sion of the demon­stra­tions to the peo­ple, and it has been shown that the size of the demon­stra­tions on Fri­day, does not con­sti­tute a threat to the sta­tus quo.

Worst, Sadrists call their sup­port­ers to demon­strate and thank “Maliki’s government”.

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Maliki’s multi-“small wars”

Iraqi Prime Min­is­ter Maliki is cur­rently fac­ing many “small wars” on many fronts. An already declared war with the Iraqiya List, par­tic­u­larly with its leader, Iyad Allawi, and three “silent wars” with the so-called part­ners who are the Sadrists and the Supreme Coun­cil and the Kur­dis­tan Alliance.

War with Al-Iraqiya is prob­a­bly the least impor­tant for him. The war with the Sadrists and the Supreme Coun­cil (which seeks to re-market, Adel Abdul-Mahdi as a pos­si­ble can­di­date after the with­drawal of con­fi­dence from the Maliki), is to solve through Iran.

The most “expen­sive” war is with the Kurds, Its results are depen­dent on the visit of the Kur­dis­tan region Prime Min­is­ter Barham Saleh to dis­cuss points of disagreement.

After Iraqiya List MP Talal Al-Zubai’ revealed the for­ma­tion of a gath­er­ing of 180 par­lia­ment mem­bers to top­ple the Iraqi prime Min­is­ter Maliki, he also admit­ted that the job can not be done with­out the Sadrists.

To win the Sadrists, the List called approved Iran’s regional project of defence sys­tem includes Syria-Iraq-Iran.

To cre­ate a regional defense sys­tem that can restore the region’s pol­icy away from West­ern influence

Al-Iraqiya also started to attack the extend of the US pres­ence in Iraq:

The United States is using issue of pro­tec­tion of Iraqi air­space as a pre­text to extend the pres­ence of its forces in Iraq.

Muq­tada Al-Sadr’s dis­ap­proved any plan to oust Maliki saying:

The Sadrists want to pre­serve the gov­ern­ment and not to top­ple it as the oth­ers want

Maliki’s “State of Law” expected Sadr’s dis­ap­proval saying:

It is unlikely for the Sadrists to form an alliance with the Iraqiya List to with­draw of con­fi­dence from the Prime Min­is­ter Maliki.

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Why there are so many Islamists in Libya?

In his excel­lent book “Mod­ern Libyan Islamic Move­ments .. Ide­ol­ogy, lead­er­ship .. expe­ri­ences and future”, Libyan researcher Muham­mad Al-Nak’u says that since the Ital­ian occu­pa­tion of Libya before the WWII untill the fall of Gadaffi, gov­ern­ments that ruled Libya pro­hib­ited the for­ma­tion of polit­i­cal par­ties. Islamic polit­i­cal activists started to cre­ate secret polit­i­cal cells (semi-parties).

Libyan nation­al­ism is influ­enced through the Islamic faith, which is the actual reli­gion of all the peo­ple and an essen­tial source of inspi­ra­tion to those national move­ments, which means bat­tle, deter­mi­na­tion as well as martyrdom.

Al-Nak’u wrote the following:

The Libyan youth became reli­gious, recit­ing Islamic books and Jihadi audio­tapes, includ­ing speeches, Abdul­lah Azzam, and oth­ers, along with speeches of Sheikh Mohammed Al-Beshti, and the work of Sayyid Qutb, espe­cially the “Sign­posts on the Road” and “In the shad­ows of the Qur’an”, and the views of Ahmed Bin Taymiyah, espe­cially Fat­was and Islamic legal def­i­n­i­tion on jihad. These are some sources that ignited the enthu­si­asm of the Libyan youth, and led them to cre­ate a secret organ­i­sa­tions of few hundreds.

Al-Nak’u in his research argued that the Libyan peo­ple resisted the Italian-French-british occu­pa­tions alone (with­out any help or sup­port from other Arab-Islamic nations) moti­vated by Islamic teach­ings. Sec­u­lar­ism in Libya is equal to “lack of nation­al­ism”, and this is the strug­gle we are going to see in the next phase of Libya’s future.

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List of Libya’s Islamic Movements -

I man­aged to com­pile a list of the impor­tant Islamic move­ments in Libya, with a sum­mary about their par­tic­u­lar back­ground and ideas. Very impor­tant for inter­ested West­ern read­ers mainly because these group will play a major role in Libya’s future.

In a com­ing post I will try to dis­cus the future of these groups accord­ing to the recent polit­i­cal sit­u­a­tion, also notice that these are the recent active groups.

Libyan Islamic Movement

Emerged as a Move­ment in the early 80s (although the idea of its for­ma­tion is back to the 70s), and then divided into two groups:

- (The Libyan Islamic Group), which later became known as (the Mus­lim Brotherhood)

- The orig­i­nal Move­ment, which con­tin­ued to func­tion under the name of (the Libyan Islamic Movement).

Accord­ing to Sheikh Mohammed Bin Ghali — a mem­ber of the move­ment — that the rea­son behind the split is the dif­fer­ence in the ide­ol­ogy and not in the objectives.

Ide­ol­ogy:

Focused on the Libyan inter­nal Islamic issues. the Move­ment is open to the pub­lic opin­ion, dis­tance itself from the elit­ists, and tend to dis­cus modern-day Islamic issues.

The move­ment is more flex­i­ble than other move­ments, less extrem­ists, and open to cul­tural, polit­i­cal debates, no regional or inter­na­tional con­nec­tions with other Islamic Movements.

Libyan Islamic Group (Mus­lim Brotherhood)

Since 1993, known as (the Libyan Islamic Group), which is an exten­sion of the Egypt­ian Islamic Move­ment founded by Has­san al-Banna.

Started its activ­ity as a Mus­lim Broth­er­hood in Libya after the arrival of Mus­lim Broth­er­hood Egypt­ian teach­ers to work in Libya in the 50s of the last century.

Ide­ol­ogy:

The group believes that Islam is the State’s reli­gion, its demands of top­pling of Gadhafi’s regime to estab­lish an Islamic State is its legit­i­mate and oblig­a­tory duty.

Focuses on the mod­ern his­tory of Islam, The group sup­ports the posi­tions of other Islamic groups and move­ments in Libya.

Its speech focuses on the “glob­al­i­sa­tion” of Islam through the review of the Islamic activ­i­ties around the world. From late sev­en­ties until mid-eighties the Move­ment changed its speech from direct Islamic preach­ing to the polit­i­cal side.

Pub­li­ca­tions

A mag­a­zine called (The Mus­lim), first issue pub­lished in Sep­tem­ber of 1980, and it is the first Libyan Anti-military regime (Gaddafi).

The group also released a its peri­od­i­cal bul­letin on behalf of (Libya .. the voice of the Mus­lim youth), also released audio and video media files con­tain sev­eral inter­views with Libyan Islamic figures.

The group also pub­lished few Islamic books on Libyan mod­ern Islamic phi­los­o­phy, includ­ing some of the chap­ters of the book (the new pop­ulism .. chap­ters in his­tory and pol­i­tics) — Mohamed Mustafa Ramadan, pub­lished 1971.

The Libyan Islamic Fight­ing Group (LIFG)

Armed orga­ni­za­tion with Salafi Jihadi ide­ol­ogy, estab­lished by a group of young men who par­tic­i­pated in the Afghan war against the Soviet. The group car­ried out armed oper­a­tions against secu­rity and civil organ­i­sa­tion in Libya in the 90s in order to over­throw Gaddafi’s regime.

The begin­ning

In 1982, Ali Al-A’ashbi with 8 other Islamists formed the first cell, but the Libyan secu­rity ser­vice man­aged to elim­i­nate this small cell. Another attempt in 1989, made by Awad al-Zawawi, cre­ated a new cell, but the mem­bers are arrested and jailed by the Libyan secu­rity. Later in 1989, Muham­mad Al-Mhishhish a.ka. (Sayyaf Libya) cre­ated an under­ground group called the “Islamic Mar­tyrs Movement”.

Rela­tion­ship with al-Qaeda

The group coop­er­ated with Al-Qaeda in the fight­ing against the Sovi­ets, but there are var­i­ous ide­o­log­i­cal rea­sons pre­vented the merger of the two groups. The goal of (LIFG) is to over­throw the Libyan rul­ing regime and the cre­ation of an Islamic State, while the pri­or­i­ties of Osama bin Laden directed towards other goals, the respect between both groups existed, until Ayman al-Zawahiri the sec­ond man in Al-Qaeda announced the merge of both groups in Novem­ber 2007.

Ide­ol­ogy:

On Octo­ber 18, 1995 the “Libyan Islamic Fight­ing Group” issued its first state­ment on the announce­ment of the Fight­ing Islamic Group in Libya, which stated sev­eral points of its gen­eral policy:

- A Mus­lim group pre­pares for jihad against the ene­mies of God and any tyrant rul­ing regime other than what Allah has sent.

- Beliefs and under­stand­ing: the doc­trine of the Sun­nis accord­ing to the pre­de­ces­sor of [Mohammad’s] com­pan­ions and followers.

- The pur­pose and goal: to please God and to the estab­lish­ment his religion.

- Means: to fol­low the com­mand of Allah Almighty in jihad.

- Method of work: con­fi­den­tial­ity in the work accord­ing to the inter­est, and inspire the spirit of jihad and incite among the believ­ers to fight in the name of God.

Pub­li­ca­tions

A monthly mag­a­zine called (Al-Fajir) first issue in 1994, pub­lished by the Islamic Infor­ma­tion Cen­ter, dis­trib­uted in Lon­don in the 90s, (at that time, Lon­don was open to receive many mem­bers of Arab-Afghan Islamic move­ments, dur­ing the war against the Soviet pres­ence in Afghanistan).

A monthly arti­cle in the mag­a­zine uses tac­ti­cal reli­gious terms to recruit mem­bers in group to fight against the gov­ern­ment in Libya.

Impor­tant operations

August 1996 — the group announced an attempt to assas­si­nate Gaddafi in the Braak city south of the country.

Octo­ber 1996 announced its attempt to assas­si­nate Muam­mar Gaddafi in Sirt, his hometown.

1998 the group announced an attempt to assas­si­nate Gaddafi in the east­ern city Baidha.

Con­fronta­tion with the Libyan authorities:

Since 1995, the Libyan secu­rity orga­ni­za­tions started to raided, jailed and killed many mem­bers of the group, espe­cially in Beng­hazi. The group armed wing nearly ended in 1999.

recon­sid­er­a­tion:

In 2009, there were (Cor­rec­tive Stud­ies), where many respected fig­ures with other Islamic groups started a dia­logue with (LIFG) to review their posi­tion from Jihad. Mem­ber of the Mus­lim Broth­er­hood, Dr. Ali Salaabi, and also for­mer leader of the orga­ni­za­tion Numan Bin Uth­man, and after these reviews Libyan author­i­ties released many LIFG detainees.

Islamic Alliance Movement

Cre­ated 1974 and joined the Mus­lim Broth­er­hood) and later 1990 they split again because of some organ­i­sa­tion dif­fer­ences. the group released an inter­nal bul­letin called (Al-Sabeel), most of the group’s ide­olo­gies are Islamic education.

Later many mem­bers of the group who believed in Jihad split and joined (LIFG).

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The hypocrisy of “Quds Day” in Iraq ordered in Iran

Since the start of the so-called “Arab spring”. This spring brought dan­ger­ous sur­prises that will turn the polit­i­cal equa­tions in the region upside down. One the most impor­tant impli­ca­tions is the regime change of the Syr­ian Pres­i­dent Bashar al-Assad, with its uncal­cu­lated risks on the Iraqi-Syrian-Iranian relationships.

Although the Badr Brigade, the mil­i­tary wing of the Islamic Supreme Coun­cil that orga­nized a pub­lic demon­stra­tions of the Al-Quds Day, which is the first of its kind after the fall of the for­mer regime, but it is clear that this is only the begin­ning. It is expected to start other attempts to re-mobilize the peo­ple toward a pos­si­ble con­fronta­tion with Israel (and maybe with the US) in the name of Palestine.

Post-occupation 2003, Pales­tini­ans in Iraq accused, chased tor­tured and killed with charge of being agents of Sad­dam by the same peo­ple who are orga­niz­ing “Quds Day” today. Even the Pales­tin­ian Pres­i­dent Mah­moud Abbas couldn’t find any Iraqi offi­cial to receive him in order to dis­cus the cri­sis of the Pales­tin­ian refugees in the desert, other than the Kur­dish leader Mas­soud Barzani in order to host the refugees in Kur­dis­tan. But today appears very dif­fer­ent, What is hap­pen­ing within Syria made the Iran­ian lead­ers to recal­cu­late their choices in Iraq and mix the cards based on the beats of war-drums.

Before 2003, Sad­dam cre­ated “Al-Quds Army” to gain the Arab sup­port. Now it is the same sce­nario all over again, but this time the order came from Tehran.

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Al-Qaeda in Libya started to act, killing friends and foes

Too late for Wash­ing­ton, after the end of their mis­sion to over­throw Gaddafi Wash­ing­ton calls for the Libyan oppo­si­tion to reject extremists.

Accord­ing to Moham­mad Dharif the Alger­ian expert in Islamic movements:

Clin­ton tries to exer­cise pres­sure on the Tran­si­tional Coun­cil, to push its mem­bers to express a kind of flex­i­bil­ity with the new phase, in addi­tion, pres­sure on mem­bers of the Libyan Coun­cil to allow the pres­ence of West­ern forces [NATO], in order to “pro­tect the rev­o­lu­tion”. The West is try­ing to play on the dif­fer­ences of the tran­si­tional Council.

Al-Qaeda moved very quickly to dom­i­nate key power posts in the new NATO cre­ated Libya, as Pepe Esco­bar revealed that Al-Qada pow­er­ful leader Abdel Hakim Bel­hadj is now the head of the new Libyan mil­i­tary forces (Aljazeera inter­view with Bel­hadj).

Today’s explo­sion in Alge­ria which killed 18 sol­diers (among them 2 for­eign offi­cers one from Syria and the other from Mali). Alge­ria already linked the sui­cide bombers with the NATO Mil­i­tary sup­port from to Libyan with­out ver­i­fi­ca­tion into the des­ti­na­tion of this sup­port, it will have with­out doubt the neg­a­tive impact on North Africa and Europe.

Alge­ria called the Libyan rebels to fight Al-Qaeda mem­bers among the Libyan NTC. Ahmed Al-Bani the Libyan oppo­si­tion forces spokesman (Bel­hadj spokesman) warned Alge­ria say­ing (Video):

Alger­ian Pres­i­dent did not recog­nise us and did not even rec­og­nize the laws of God”.

And even direct threat from Al-Bani saying:

Alge­ria should fight al Qaeda in Alge­ria first before mak­ing any conditions.

Also, there are signs indi­cate that Libyan Al-Qaeda wants to elim­i­nate other Al-qaeda North Africa (AQIM) rivals and the assas­si­na­tion of Ibrahim ag Bahanga reported today is the first step towards who will lead (AQIM) in the future. Accord­ing to this report few months ago Bahanga man­aged to gather 20,000 Al-Qaeda fight­ers to sup­port Ghadafi.

Head of the Alger­ian Social­ists Labour Party Louisa Hanoun put it very sim­ple: “The out­come in Libya will be a civil war hosted by the NATO”.

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Follow the Oil drops, Why NATO allowed Qaddafi’s troops to retreat from Tripoli?

Libyan rebels are NATO’s extras nec­es­sary for the media cam­eras … Those who are fight­ing on the ground in Tripoli are actu­ally British and French com­man­dos with spe­cial Jor­dan­ian and Qatari units .. All in civil­ian cloths.

Dur­ing the bat­tle of Tripoli, the NATO stopped the bomb­ing of Gaddafi’s troops allow­ing the Libyan leader Muam­mar Gaddafi and troops to retreat, and to launch few mil­i­tary counter-attacks.

The crit­i­cal ques­tion is? Why the NATO pro­vided Gaddafi and his troops a safe with­drawal? Where is the Oil trace behind this story?

The flow rate of export of Libyan oil is in the range of 1.6 mil­lion bar­rels per day, dur­ing the last few weeks fell to 100 thou­sand bar­rels per day. Oil wells and oil fields are not dam­aged but most of the oil work­ers left the country.

The Libyan tran­si­tional Coun­cil said that oil pro­duc­tion can resume within 2 weeks, but the NATO has another sce­nario in its mind, West­ern coun­tries esti­mated the full Libyan oil out­put in ‘four to six months’ or even a year.

The ques­tion is: Why a year period while the oil reserves and oil instal­la­tions are in place and work­ing properly?

Cur­rent data reveals that there four types of con­trol oper­a­tions in the Libyan arena:

1– the tra­di­tional con­trol by the elites of the tribal areas.
2– Gaddafi’s forces con­trolled some areas.
3– Areas under direct con­trol of the armed Libyan oppo­si­tion forces and rebels.
4– Unde­clared areas con­trolled by the London-Paris-Washington tri­an­gle, which are divided into two areas:
A– Areas to pro­vide sup­ports for the Libyan oppo­si­tion, but within the lim­ited frame­work.
B– Areas, tem­porar­ily the NATO turns a blind eye on Qaddafi’s troops activ­i­ties, allow­ing them to esca­late the con­fronta­tions against the Libyan rebels, within the lim­its that allow the con­tin­u­a­tion of the con­flict within the for­mat of no win­ner, no loser … Until the NATO can fully con­trol the new fig­ures in the com­ing Libyan government.

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